Arthur Fils vs. Frances Tiafoe: Total Sets O/U 2.5

Q: Arthur Fils vs. Frances Tiafoe: Total Sets O/U 2.5

Prediction markets currently price this at 44%. A YES share costs 44.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 127.3% over 8d.

Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe$15k liquidity$139 volumecloses 8d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 44.0¢
Implied chance: 44.0%
Return if right: 127.3%
Spread cost: 8%

If you put in $100

You get 227.3 shares at 44.0¢ each.

YES wins: $227.27 back, a profit of $127.27. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $10.82 of that profit. Without it you would make $138.10.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 60.0¢
Implied chance: 60.0%
Return if right: 66.7%
Spread cost: 8%

If you put in $100

You get 166.7 shares at 60.0¢ each.

NO wins: $166.67 back, a profit of $66.67. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $5.75 of that profit. Without it you would make $72.41.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 23, 07:32 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Fils and Frances Tiafoe in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets completed equals or exceeds 3. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. The primary resolution source for this market will be official ATP statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current