Arthur Fery vs. Lorenzo Musetti: Total Sets O/U 4.5

US Open ATP: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti$12k liquidity$0 volumecloses 9d
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BUY YES

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Cost
48.0¢
Implied chance
48.0%
Return if right
108.3%
Spread cost
43%

If you put in $100

You get 208.3 shares at 48.0¢ each.

YES wins: $208.33 back, a profit of $108.33. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $81.52 of that profit. Without it you would make $189.86.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

Buy NO on Polymarket

BUY NO

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We keep it in one place with the price you saw, and email you when it settles or moves sharply. It is free, and the screener stays open to everyone either way.

Cost
79.0¢
Implied chance
79.0%
Return if right
26.6%
Spread cost
50%

If you put in $100

You get 126.6 shares at 79.0¢ each.

NO wins: $126.58 back, a profit of $26.58. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $26.09 of that profit. Without it you would make $52.67.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Latest news

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Headlines are matched on the names in “Arthur Fery vs. Lorenzo Musetti: Total Sets O/U 4.5”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Fery and Lorenzo Musetti in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. If the match is played to completion, this market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets played equals or exceeds 5, and to "Under" otherwise. A set counts as played once it has begun, even if it is not played to completion. A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If a player retires, withdraws, is defaulted, or is disqualified, or the match otherwise begins but is not completed, this market will resolve based on any outcome that was already unequivocally determined at the time play stopped. An outcome is considered determined if it would have been guaranteed had the match been played to completion using the minimum number of additional sets required. For example, for a line of 2.5, if play stops with the players at one set each, completing the match would have required at least one additional set, resulting in at least 3 sets played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. If neither outcome was already determined at the time play stopped, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or has not been completed by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless an outcome was already unequivocally determined as described above. The primary resolution source for this market will be official Grand Slam statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

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Arthur Fery vs. Lorenzo Musetti: Total Sets O/U 4.5 (48% chance) | PullToPar