Buenos Aires 2: Tomas Farjat vs Juan Pablo Varillas

Q: Buenos Aires 2: Tomas Farjat vs Juan Pablo Varillas

Prediction markets currently price this at 2%. A YES share costs 2.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 4900.0% over 5d.

Buenos Aires 2: Tomas Farjat vs Juan Pablo Varillas$80k liquidity$45k volumecloses 5d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 2.0¢
Implied chance: 2.0%
Return if right: 4900.0%
Spread cost: 33%

If you put in $100

You get 5000.0 shares at 2.0¢ each.

YES wins: $5000.00 back, a profit of $4900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2407.41 of that profit. Without it you would make $7307.41.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 99.3¢
Implied chance: 99.3%
Return if right: 0.7%
Spread cost: 48%

If you put in $100

You get 100.7 shares at 99.3¢ each.

NO wins: $100.70 back, a profit of $0.70. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.66 of that profit. Without it you would make $1.37.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Sep 22, 03:00 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “Buenos Aires 2: Tomas Farjat vs Juan Pablo Varillas”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Farjat and Juan Pablo Varillas in the Buenos Aires 2, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Farjat' if Tomas Farjat advances against Juan Pablo Varillas. This market will resolve to 'Juan Pablo Varillas' if Juan Pablo Varillas advances against Tomas Farjat. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current