Set 1 Winner: Faria vs Walton

Q: Set 1 Winner: Faria vs Walton

Prediction markets currently price this at 61%. A YES share costs 61.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 63.9% over 8d.

Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton$2k liquidity$0 volumecloses 8d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 61.0¢
Implied chance: 61.0%
Return if right: 63.9%
Spread cost: 19%

If you put in $100

You get 163.9 shares at 61.0¢ each.

YES wins: $163.93 back, a profit of $63.93. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $14.64 of that profit. Without it you would make $78.57.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 49.0¢
Implied chance: 49.0%
Return if right: 104.1%
Spread cost: 18%

If you put in $100

You get 204.1 shares at 49.0¢ each.

NO wins: $204.08 back, a profit of $104.08. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $23.19 of that profit. Without it you would make $127.27.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 17, 08:40 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Disney’s ‘Hexed’ Adds Walton Goggins and Jodie Foster to CastVariety · 2d ago

Headlines are matched on the names in “Set 1 Winner: Faria vs Walton”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Jaime Faria and Adam Walton in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Faria” if Jaime Faria wins the first set. It will resolve to “Walton” if Adam Walton wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current