Set 1 Winner: Draxl vs Johnson
BUY YES
- Cost
- 68.0¢
- Implied chance
- 68.0%
- Return if right
- 47.1%
- Spread cost
- 13%
If you put in $100
You get 147.1 shares at 68.0¢ each.
YES wins: $147.06 back, a profit of $47.06. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $6.79 of that profit. Without it you would make $53.85.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 38.0¢
- Implied chance
- 38.0%
- Return if right
- 163.2%
- Spread cost
- 12%
If you put in $100
You get 263.2 shares at 38.0¢ each.
NO wins: $263.16 back, a profit of $163.16. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $22.56 of that profit. Without it you would make $185.71.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- US Open, Qualification ATP: Liam Draxl vs Andrew Johnson Set 1 Winner65.5%
- US Open, Qualification ATP: Liam…72.5%
- US Open, Qualification ATP: Liam Draxl vs Andrew Johnson Set 2 Winner67.5%
- US Open, Qualification ATP: Liam Draxl vs Andrew Johnson Set Handicap +/-1.549.5%
- US Open, Qualification ATP: Liam Draxl vs Andrew Johnson Total Sets: O/U 2.536.5%
- US Open, Qualification ATP: Liam Draxl vs Andrew Johnson Match O/U 21.549.0%
Latest: Aug 26, 12:33 PM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
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Headlines are matched on the names in “Set 1 Winner: Draxl vs Johnson”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market refers to the tennis match between Liam Draxl and Andrew Johnson in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Draxl” if Liam Draxl wins the first set. It will resolve to “Johnson” if Andrew Johnson wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam match statistics.
Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Other outcomes in US Open, Qualification ATP: Liam Draxl vs Andrew Johnson
US Open, Qualification ATP: Liam Draxl vs Andrew Johnson
Set Handicap: Draxl (-1.5) vs Johnson (+1.5)
Liam Draxl vs. Andrew Johnson: Total Sets O/U 2.5
Draxl vs. Johnson: Match O/U 21.5
Set Handicap: Johnson (-1.5) vs Draxl (+1.5)
Draxl vs. Johnson: Match O/U 22.5
Draxl vs. Johnson: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
Draxl vs. Johnson: Match O/U 23.5
Set 2 Winner: Draxl vs Johnson
Draxl vs. Johnson: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
Draxl vs. Johnson: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
Draxl vs. Johnson: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
Draxl vs. Johnson: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
Draxl vs. Johnson: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
Game Spread: Draxl (-4.5) vs Johnson (+4.5)
US Open, Qualification ATP: Completed Match: Liam Draxl vs Andrew Johnson