Set 1 Winner: Donski vs Kumasaka
BUY YES
- Cost
- 58.0¢
- Implied chance
- 58.0%
- Return if right
- 72.4%
- Spread cost
- 4%
If you put in $100
You get 172.4 shares at 58.0¢ each.
YES wins: $172.41 back, a profit of $72.41. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.02 of that profit. Without it you would make $75.44.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 44.0¢
- Implied chance
- 44.0%
- Return if right
- 127.3%
- Spread cost
- 4%
If you put in $100
You get 227.3 shares at 44.0¢ each.
NO wins: $227.27 back, a profit of $127.27. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $5.29 of that profit. Without it you would make $132.56.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishersNo recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.
Headlines are matched on the names in “Set 1 Winner: Donski vs Kumasaka”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Donski and Takuya Kumasaka in the Grodzisk Mazowiecki, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to “Donski” if Alexander Donski wins the first set. It will resolve to “Kumasaka” if Takuya Kumasaka wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.
Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Other outcomes in Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alexander Donski vs Takuya Kumasaka
- Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alexander Donski vs Takuya Kumasaka
- Set Handicap: Kumasaka (-1.5) vs Donski (+1.5)
- Donski vs. Kumasaka: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
- Set 2 Winner: Donski vs Kumasaka
- Alexander Donski vs. Takuya Kumasaka: Total Sets O/U 2.5
- Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Completed Match: Alexander Donski vs Takuya Kumasaka
- Donski vs. Kumasaka: Match O/U 23.5
- Donski vs. Kumasaka: Match O/U 22.5
- Donski vs. Kumasaka: Match O/U 21.5
- Donski vs. Kumasaka: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
- Donski vs. Kumasaka: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
- Donski vs. Kumasaka: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
- Donski vs. Kumasaka: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
- Set Handicap: Donski (-1.5) vs Kumasaka (+1.5)
- Donski vs. Kumasaka: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5