US Open, Qualification ATP: Taro Daniel vs Andrew Johnson

Q: US Open, Qualification ATP: Taro Daniel vs Andrew Johnson

Prediction markets currently price this at 87%. A YES share costs 87.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 14.9% over 8d.

US Open, Qualification ATP: Taro Daniel vs Andrew Johnson$4k liquidity$0 volumecloses 8d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 87.0¢
Implied chance: 87.0%
Return if right: 14.9%
Spread cost: 45%

If you put in $100

You get 114.9 shares at 87.0¢ each.

YES wins: $114.94 back, a profit of $14.94. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $12.45 of that profit. Without it you would make $27.39.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 30.0¢
Implied chance: 30.0%
Return if right: 233.3%
Spread cost: 36%

If you put in $100

You get 333.3 shares at 30.0¢ each.

NO wins: $333.33 back, a profit of $233.33. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $131.78 of that profit. Without it you would make $365.12.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 24, 04:37 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “US Open, Qualification ATP: Taro Daniel vs Andrew Johnson”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Taro Daniel and Andrew Johnson in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Taro Daniel' if Taro Daniel advances against Andrew Johnson. This market will resolve to 'Andrew Johnson' if Andrew Johnson advances against Taro Daniel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current