Hamburg: Cezar Cretu vs Marvin Moeller

Q: Hamburg: Cezar Cretu vs Marvin Moeller

Prediction markets currently price this at 47%. A YES share costs 47.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 112.8% over 7d.

Hamburg: Cezar Cretu vs Marvin Moeller$245k liquidity$29k volumecloses 7d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 47.0¢
Implied chance: 47.0%
Return if right: 112.8%
Spread cost: 2%

If you put in $100

You get 212.8 shares at 47.0¢ each.

YES wins: $212.77 back, a profit of $112.77. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.29 of that profit. Without it you would make $115.05.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 54.0¢
Implied chance: 54.0%
Return if right: 85.2%
Spread cost: 2%

If you put in $100

You get 185.2 shares at 54.0¢ each.

NO wins: $185.19 back, a profit of $85.19. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.73 of that profit. Without it you would make $86.92.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 10, 12:18 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “Hamburg: Cezar Cretu vs Marvin Moeller”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Cezar Cretu and Marvin Moeller in the Hamburg, originally scheduled for August 10, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cezar Cretu' if Cezar Cretu advances against Marvin Moeller. This market will resolve to 'Marvin Moeller' if Marvin Moeller advances against Cezar Cretu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current