Choinski vs. Rottgering: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5

Q: Choinski vs. Rottgering: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5

Prediction markets currently price this at 98%. A YES share costs 98.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 2.0% over 8d.

Winston-Salem Open: Jan Choinski vs Mees Rottgering$10 liquidity$0 volumecloses 8d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 98.0¢
Implied chance: 98.0%
Return if right: 2.0%
Spread cost: 98%

If you put in $100

You get 102.0 shares at 98.0¢ each.

YES wins: $102.04 back, a profit of $2.04. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $99.98 of that profit. Without it you would make $102.02.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 99.0¢
Implied chance: 99.0%
Return if right: 1.0%
Spread cost: 99%

If you put in $100

You get 101.0 shares at 99.0¢ each.

NO wins: $101.01 back, a profit of $1.01. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $97.01 of that profit. Without it you would make $98.02.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 24, 02:46 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Draper & Choinski lose in Cincinnati as Norrie progressesBBC Sport · 10d ago

Headlines are matched on the names in “Choinski vs. Rottgering: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Jan Choinski and Mees Rottgering in the Winston-Salem Open, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 3:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current