Set Handicap: Alejandro Moro Canas (-1.5) vs Carlo Alberto Caniato (+1.5)

Q: Set Handicap: Alejandro Moro Canas (-1.5) vs Carlo Alberto Caniato (+1.5)

Prediction markets currently price this at 99%. A YES share costs 99.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 1.0% over 3d.

Biella: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Alejandro Moro Canas$6 liquidity$0 volumecloses 3d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 99.0¢
Implied chance: 99.0%
Return if right: 1.0%
Spread cost: 99%

If you put in $100

You get 101.0 shares at 99.0¢ each.

YES wins: $101.01 back, a profit of $1.01. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $89.47 of that profit. Without it you would make $90.48.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 94.0¢
Implied chance: 94.0%
Return if right: 6.4%
Spread cost: 94%

If you put in $100

You get 106.4 shares at 94.0¢ each.

NO wins: $106.38 back, a profit of $6.38. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $104.14 of that profit. Without it you would make $110.53.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

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Latest: Sep 20, 11:00 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Moro Canas and Carlo Alberto Caniato in the Biella, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Alejandro Moro Canas" if Alejandro Moro Canas wins by 2 or more sets than Carlo Alberto Caniato, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Carlo Alberto Caniato." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Alejandro Moro Canas can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Carlo Alberto Caniato." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current