Set 1 Winner: Blaydes vs Martineau

Q: Set 1 Winner: Blaydes vs Martineau

Prediction markets currently price this at 43%. A YES share costs 43.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 132.6% over 7d.

Roehampton 2: Billy Blaydes vs Matteo Martineau$23 liquidity$0 volumecloses 7d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 43.0¢
Implied chance: 43.0%
Return if right: 132.6%
Spread cost: 20%

If you put in $100

You get 232.6 shares at 43.0¢ each.

YES wins: $232.56 back, a profit of $132.56. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $34.11 of that profit. Without it you would make $166.67.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 68.0¢
Implied chance: 68.0%
Return if right: 47.1%
Spread cost: 22%

If you put in $100

You get 147.1 shares at 68.0¢ each.

NO wins: $147.06 back, a profit of $47.06. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $12.94 of that profit. Without it you would make $60.00.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 24, 07:38 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Miku Martineau Hits the Water in First Trailer for Netflix’s New YA Series ‘Crew Girl’The Hollywood Reporter · 12d ago

Headlines are matched on the names in “Set 1 Winner: Blaydes vs Martineau”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Billy Blaydes and Matteo Martineau in the Roehampton 2, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to “Blaydes” if Billy Blaydes wins the first set. It will resolve to “Martineau” if Matteo Martineau wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current