San Diego 2: Darwin Blanch vs J.J. Wolf

Q: San Diego 2: Darwin Blanch vs J.J. Wolf

Prediction markets currently price this at 43%. A YES share costs 43.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 132.6% over 5d.

San Diego 2: Darwin Blanch vs J.J. Wolf$65k liquidity$3k volumecloses 5d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 43.0¢
Implied chance: 43.0%
Return if right: 132.6%
Spread cost: 2%

If you put in $100

You get 232.6 shares at 43.0¢ each.

YES wins: $232.56 back, a profit of $132.56. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.74 of that profit. Without it you would make $135.29.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 58.0¢
Implied chance: 58.0%
Return if right: 72.4%
Spread cost: 2%

If you put in $100

You get 172.4 shares at 58.0¢ each.

NO wins: $172.41 back, a profit of $72.41. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.50 of that profit. Without it you would make $73.91.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Sep 23, 02:00 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “San Diego 2: Darwin Blanch vs J.J. Wolf”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Darwin Blanch and J.J. Wolf in the San Diego 2, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Darwin Blanch' if Darwin Blanch advances against J.J. Wolf. This market will resolve to 'J.J. Wolf' if J.J. Wolf advances against Darwin Blanch. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current