Set 2 Winner: Berrettini vs Navone

Q: Set 2 Winner: Berrettini vs Navone

Prediction markets currently price this at 65%. A YES share costs 65.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 53.8% over 8d.

US Open ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone$149 liquidity$0 volumecloses 8d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 65.0¢
Implied chance: 65.0%
Return if right: 53.8%
Spread cost: 45%

If you put in $100

You get 153.8 shares at 65.0¢ each.

YES wins: $153.85 back, a profit of $53.85. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $44.17 of that profit. Without it you would make $98.02.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 64.0¢
Implied chance: 64.0%
Return if right: 56.3%
Spread cost: 45%

If you put in $100

You get 156.3 shares at 64.0¢ each.

NO wins: $156.25 back, a profit of $56.25. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $45.77 of that profit. Without it you would make $102.02.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Sep 1, 04:23 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Djokovic loses in opening round of US Open for first time, falling to NavoneABC News · 20h ago

Headlines are matched on the names in “Set 2 Winner: Berrettini vs Navone”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Berrettini and Mariano Navone in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Berrettini” if Matteo Berrettini wins set 2. It will resolve to “Navone” if Mariano Navone wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam match statistics.

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current