Bellucci vs. Majchrzak: Match O/U 22.5

Q: Bellucci vs. Majchrzak: Match O/U 22.5

Prediction markets currently price this at 50%. A YES share costs 50.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 100.0% over 6d.

Hangzhou Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Kamil Majchrzak$8k liquidity$174 volumecloses 6d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 50.0¢
Implied chance: 50.0%
Return if right: 100.0%
Spread cost: 4%

If you put in $100

You get 200.0 shares at 50.0¢ each.

YES wins: $200.00 back, a profit of $100.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.08 of that profit. Without it you would make $104.08.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 52.0¢
Implied chance: 52.0%
Return if right: 92.3%
Spread cost: 4%

If you put in $100

You get 192.3 shares at 52.0¢ each.

NO wins: $192.31 back, a profit of $92.31. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.77 of that profit. Without it you would make $96.08.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Sep 24, 04:12 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Mattia Bellucci and Kamil Majchrzak in the Hangzhou Open, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the match played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether a final set is played as a full set or as a match tiebreak. For example, for a line of 21.5, if play stops at 6-3, 5-6, completing the match would have required at least 2 additional games, resulting in at least 22 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. Likewise, if the published format replaces the final set with a match tiebreak, that tiebreak counts as one (1) game, so for a line of 22.5, if play stops at 6-2, 3-3, the match could have reached at most 22 games and "Under" would resolve as the winning outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be official ATP statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current