Todi: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Nikita Mashtakov

Q: Todi: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Nikita Mashtakov

Prediction markets currently price this at 73%. A YES share costs 73.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 37.0% over 7d.

Todi: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Nikita Mashtakov$5k liquidity$156 volumecloses 7d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 73.0¢
Implied chance: 73.0%
Return if right: 37.0%
Spread cost: 7%

If you put in $100

You get 137.0 shares at 73.0¢ each.

YES wins: $136.99 back, a profit of $36.99. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.87 of that profit. Without it you would make $39.86.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 30.0¢
Implied chance: 30.0%
Return if right: 233.3%
Spread cost: 7%

If you put in $100

You get 333.3 shares at 30.0¢ each.

NO wins: $333.33 back, a profit of $233.33. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $17.54 of that profit. Without it you would make $250.88.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 11, 04:36 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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Headlines are matched on the names in “Todi: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Nikita Mashtakov”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Oriol Roca Batalla and Nikita Mashtakov in the Todi, originally scheduled for August 11, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Oriol Roca Batalla' if Oriol Roca Batalla advances against Nikita Mashtakov. This market will resolve to 'Nikita Mashtakov' if Nikita Mashtakov advances against Oriol Roca Batalla. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current