Set Handicap: Arutiunian (-1.5) vs Imamura (+1.5)

Q: Set Handicap: Arutiunian (-1.5) vs Imamura (+1.5)

Prediction markets currently price this at 49%. A YES share costs 49.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 104.1% over 8d.

Astana: Erik Arutiunian vs Masamichi Imamura$3k liquidity$0 volumecloses 8d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 49.0¢
Implied chance: 49.0%
Return if right: 104.1%
Spread cost: 36%

If you put in $100

You get 204.1 shares at 49.0¢ each.

YES wins: $204.08 back, a profit of $104.08. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $59.08 of that profit. Without it you would make $163.16.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 73.0¢
Implied chance: 73.0%
Return if right: 37.0%
Spread cost: 40%

If you put in $100

You get 137.0 shares at 73.0¢ each.

NO wins: $136.99 back, a profit of $36.99. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $24.30 of that profit. Without it you would make $61.29.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 11, 08:54 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Erik Arutiunian and Masamichi Imamura in the Astana, originally scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Arutiunian" if Erik Arutiunian wins by 2 or more sets than Masamichi Imamura, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Imamura." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current