Manacor: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Jay Dylan Friend

Q: Manacor: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Jay Dylan Friend

Prediction markets currently price this at 46%. A YES share costs 46.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 117.4% over 8d.

Manacor: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Jay Dylan Friend$6k liquidity$47 volumecloses 8d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 46.0¢
Implied chance: 46.0%
Return if right: 117.4%
Spread cost: 4%

If you put in $100

You get 217.4 shares at 46.0¢ each.

YES wins: $217.39 back, a profit of $117.39. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.83 of that profit. Without it you would make $122.22.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 56.0¢
Implied chance: 56.0%
Return if right: 78.6%
Spread cost: 4%

If you put in $100

You get 178.6 shares at 56.0¢ each.

NO wins: $178.57 back, a profit of $78.57. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.25 of that profit. Without it you would make $81.82.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Sep 1, 10:40 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Arsenal agree terms to sign De Almeida from PSGBBC Sport · 13h ago

Headlines are matched on the names in “Manacor: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Jay Dylan Friend”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida and Jay Dylan Friend in the Manacor, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida' if Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida advances against Jay Dylan Friend. This market will resolve to 'Jay Dylan Friend' if Jay Dylan Friend advances against Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current