Apple Maps renames Lake Ontario to Lake America by September 4?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 71.0¢
- Implied chance
- 71.0%
- Return if right
- 40.8%
- Spread cost
- 45%
If you put in $100
You get 140.8 shares at 71.0¢ each.
YES wins: $140.85 back, a profit of $40.85. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $33.07 of that profit. Without it you would make $73.91.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 56.0¢
- Implied chance
- 56.0%
- Return if right
- 78.6%
- Spread cost
- 42%
If you put in $100
You get 178.6 shares at 56.0¢ each.
NO wins: $178.57 back, a profit of $78.57. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $56.72 of that profit. Without it you would make $135.29.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 1, 01:28 PM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Lake America? Trump’s Lake Ontario name change creates map mayhem for Apple and Google.MarketWatch · 1h ago
- Google Maps renames "Lake Ontario" to "Lake America" even faster than US governmentArs Technica · 22h ago
- Trump pushes Apple to change 'Lake Ontario' to 'Lake America' on its mapsBBC News · 23h ago
- Google Maps changes Lake Ontario to 'Lake America' in USDeutsche Welle · 1d ago
- Google renames Lake Ontario as 'Lake America' after Trump orderSky News · 2d ago
- Google Maps renames Lake Ontario after Trump’s decree on ‘Lake America’Al Jazeera · 2d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Apple Maps renames Lake Ontario to Lake America by September…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple Maps displays "Lake America," "Lake of America," or a similar name including both "Lake" and "America" as the label for the body of water currently known as the "Lake Ontario" for the majority of users within the United States by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Changes which appear only in experimental features or subnational regional variants will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If both "Lake America" and "Lake Ontario" are used to label the body of water, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source will be Apple Maps; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.