Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 56.0¢
- Implied chance
- 56.0%
- Return if right
- 78.6%
- Spread cost
- 13%
If you put in $100
You get 178.6 shares at 56.0¢ each.
YES wins: $178.57 back, a profit of $78.57. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $11.90 of that profit. Without it you would make $90.48.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 51.0¢
- Implied chance
- 51.0%
- Return if right
- 96.1%
- Spread cost
- 13%
If you put in $100
You get 196.1 shares at 51.0¢ each.
NO wins: $196.08 back, a profit of $96.08. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $14.45 of that profit. Without it you would make $110.53.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- At every opportunity, Anthony Fauci hid the truth about COVID, masks, from the American publicFox News · 1d ago
- Sen Marshall calls for special counsel investigation into Anthony Fauci after COVID-19 vaccine textsFox News · 1d ago
- Why a prosecution of Anthony Fauci could face challenges in courtThe Washington Post · 5d ago
- Details on Senate committee vote to hold Dr. Anthony Fauci in contemptCBS News · 6d ago
- 3 state attorneys general subpoena Anthony FauciThe Hill · 6d ago
- Senators vote to hold Anthony Fauci in contempt of Congress for invoking the FifthNBC News · 7d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Anthony Fauci between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.