Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 50.0¢
- Implied chance
- 50.0%
- Return if right
- 100.0%
- Spread cost
- 8%
If you put in $100
You get 200.0 shares at 50.0¢ each.
YES wins: $200.00 back, a profit of $100.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $8.33 of that profit. Without it you would make $108.33.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 54.0¢
- Implied chance
- 54.0%
- Return if right
- 85.2%
- Spread cost
- 8%
If you put in $100
You get 185.2 shares at 54.0¢ each.
NO wins: $185.19 back, a profit of $85.19. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $7.12 of that profit. Without it you would make $92.31.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- As GTA VI pre-orders break records, investors still need one answerYahoo Finance · 23h ago
- Why Take-Two Is Keeping Bookings Guidance Steady Even as ‘GTA VI’ Preorders Are ‘Unprecedented’Yahoo Finance · 4d ago
- Take-Two Q1 earnings beat expectations ahead of GTA VI launchYahoo Finance · 4d ago
- Take-Two touts 'unprecedented GTA VI pre-orders', but maintains bookings targetYahoo Finance · 4d ago
- GTA VI is getting an ‘extended look’ at the end of AugustThe Verge · 5d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if another official trailer for GTA VI is released by Rockstar Games or any of its official accounts, including but not limited to Rockstar's official website, YouTube channel, Twitter, or any other official social media platform between market creation and the listed date, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An "official trailer" is defined as a video clearly labelled and marketed as a trailer for the game in question. Teasers, gameplay snippets, or other promotional materials will not qualify for resolution unless explicitly marketed as an official trailer by Rockstar Games. This market will resolve immediately if such an official trailer is released by the expiry date. If no official trailer is released by the specified date, this market will resolve to "No".