Another Clacton by-election called in 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 13.0¢
- Implied chance
- 13.0%
- Return if right
- 669.2%
- Spread cost
- 9%
If you put in $100
You get 769.2 shares at 13.0¢ each.
YES wins: $769.23 back, a profit of $669.23. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $64.10 of that profit. Without it you would make $733.33.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 89.0¢
- Implied chance
- 89.0%
- Return if right
- 12.4%
- Spread cost
- 9%
If you put in $100
You get 112.4 shares at 89.0¢ each.
NO wins: $112.36 back, a profit of $12.36. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.28 of that profit. Without it you would make $13.64.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- What do people in Clacton think of Farage's by-election win?BBC Politics · 1mo ago
- Count Binface gets almost 10,000 votes in Clacton by-electionBBC Politics · 1mo ago
- Futile Clacton byelection has done Farage no favoursThe Guardian · 1mo ago
- Has the by-election changed things for Clacton?BBC Politics · 1mo ago
- UK: Nigel Farage beats a trash can in Clacton by-electionDeutsche Welle · 1mo ago
- Farage faces renewed watchdog probe after Clacton by-election victoryBBC Politics · 1mo ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Another Clacton by-election called in 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Writs issued in connection with a United Kingdom general election will not qualify. The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.