America.gov removed by October 31?

America.gov removed by October 31?$16k liquidity$5k volumecloses 2.9mo
AITechTrumpPoliticsU.S. PoliticsUnited States
Trade on Polymarket
Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY YES

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Cost
2.5¢
Implied chance
2.5%
Return if right
3900.0%
Spread cost
10%

If you put in $100

You get 4000.0 shares at 2.5¢ each.

YES wins: $4000.00 back, a profit of $3900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $444.44 of that profit. Without it you would make $4344.44.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

Buy NO on Polymarket

BUY NO

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We keep it in one place with the price you saw, and email you when it settles or moves sharply. It is free, and the screener stays open to everyone either way.

Cost
98.0¢
Implied chance
98.0%
Return if right
2.0%
Spread cost
11%

If you put in $100

You get 102.0 shares at 98.0¢ each.

NO wins: $102.04 back, a profit of $2.04. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.26 of that profit. Without it you would make $2.30.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

0%25%50%75%100%2%Sep 30Oct 5

Latest: Oct 5, 04:54 AM

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “America.gov removed by October 31?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if public access to America.gov is removed in the United States for any reason between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A removal means the website is no longer publicly accessible at america.gov. Redirection of america.gov to another domain will qualify. Changes to the site’s content, features, or branding, and the removal of individual pages, tools, or functions while the site otherwise remains accessible, will not qualify. Outages, scheduled maintenance, capacity limitations, and other access disruptions due to technical issues will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House, the America.gov website, and a consensus of credible reporting.

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Free, and the screener stays open to everyone either way.