Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 48.0¢
- Implied chance
- 48.0%
- Return if right
- 108.3%
- Spread cost
- 4%
If you put in $100
You get 208.3 shares at 48.0¢ each.
YES wins: $208.33 back, a profit of $108.33. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.43 of that profit. Without it you would make $112.77.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 54.0¢
- Implied chance
- 54.0%
- Return if right
- 85.2%
- Spread cost
- 4%
If you put in $100
You get 185.2 shares at 54.0¢ each.
NO wins: $185.19 back, a profit of $85.19. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.49 of that profit. Without it you would make $88.68.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishersNo recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.
Headlines are matched on the names in “Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new party where Alofoke, otherwise known as Santiago Matías, is in a leadership position is officially recognised by the Central Electoral Board of the Dominican Republic (JCE) by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying party must be newly formed and gain full recognition from the JCE by the listed date (see: https://jce.gob.do/Partidos-Politicos). A party will not qualify if it is an existing party that was simply renamed or recomposed with Alofoke in leadership. Alofoke must be in a leadership position of the party. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the Dominican Republic, including the JCE (https://jce.gob.do).
Source: https://jce.gob.do