Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 15.0¢
- Implied chance
- 15.0%
- Return if right
- 566.7%
- Spread cost
- 4%
If you put in $100
You get 666.7 shares at 15.0¢ each.
YES wins: $666.67 back, a profit of $566.67. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $22.99 of that profit. Without it you would make $589.66.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 86.0¢
- Implied chance
- 86.0%
- Return if right
- 16.3%
- Spread cost
- 4%
If you put in $100
You get 116.3 shares at 86.0¢ each.
NO wins: $116.28 back, a profit of $16.28. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.68 of that profit. Without it you would make $16.96.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Nike (NKE) Brings in LVMH’s Alexandre Arnault as it Drops Out of the S&P 100Yahoo Finance · 3d ago
- UFC 331 Livestream: Here’s How to Watch Joshua Van vs. Alexandre Pantoja 2 OnlineVariety · 5d ago
- Nike Stock Edges Higher After Appointing LVMH Executive Alexandre Arnault to BoardYahoo Finance · 6d ago
- Can Alexandre Arnault Help Transform Nike?Yahoo Finance · 7d ago
- Nike Adds LVMH Exec Alexandre Arnault to Board, Saying He’s ‘Earned a Reputation for Helping Iconic Global Brands’Yahoo Finance · 8d ago
- ‘Jupiter’ Director Alexandre Smia on Making a Nuclear Thriller That Suddenly Feels Terrifyingly Real: ‘We’ve Entered the Third Nuclear Age’Variety · 21d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.