Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 24.0¢
- Implied chance
- 24.0%
- Return if right
- 316.7%
- Spread cost
- 16%
If you put in $100
You get 416.7 shares at 24.0¢ each.
YES wins: $416.67 back, a profit of $316.67. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $59.52 of that profit. Without it you would make $376.19.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 82.0¢
- Implied chance
- 82.0%
- Return if right
- 22.0%
- Spread cost
- 17%
If you put in $100
You get 122.0 shares at 82.0¢ each.
NO wins: $121.95 back, a profit of $21.95. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.63 of that profit. Without it you would make $26.58.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Plane headed for remote Alaska town crashes and kills all four passengers on boardThe Guardian · 1d ago
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- Small plane crashes into shallow water near remote Alaska town, killing all 4 people aboardFox News · 2d ago
- Man in prison in New York advances in primary for Alaska’s US House seatThe Guardian · 2d ago
- Alaska’s weird (and important) Senate raceThe Washington Post · 2d ago
- SEEING DOUBLE: Second Dan Sullivan advances, setting up bizarre Alaska Senate ballotFox News · 2d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
Alaska Ballot Measure 2 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would eliminate the top-four primaries and ranked-choice voting general elections in Alaska, among other items. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Alaska statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Alaska, including the Alaska Division of Elections (https://www.elections.alaska.gov/).