AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 7.8¢
- Implied chance
- 7.8%
- Return if right
- 1182.1%
- Spread cost
- 15%
If you put in $100
You get 1282.1 shares at 7.8¢ each.
YES wins: $1282.05 back, a profit of $1182.05. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $210.49 of that profit. Without it you would make $1392.54.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 94.4¢
- Implied chance
- 94.4%
- Return if right
- 5.9%
- Spread cost
- 17%
If you put in $100
You get 105.9 shares at 94.4¢ each.
NO wins: $105.93 back, a profit of $5.93. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.25 of that profit. Without it you would make $7.18.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishersNo recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.
Headlines are matched on the names in “AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".