Will Manchester United be runner-up in the 2026-27 Premier League?

Q: Will Manchester United be runner-up in the 2026-27 Premier League?

Prediction markets currently price this at 40%. A YES share costs 40.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 150.0% over 11.6mo.

Premier League: 2026-27 Runner-Up$2k liquidity$0 volumecloses 11.6mo

SportsSoccerEPL

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 40.0¢
Implied chance: 40.0%
Return if right: 150.0%
Spread cost: 56%

If you put in $100

You get 250.0 shares at 40.0¢ each.

YES wins: $250.00 back, a profit of $150.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $194.44 of that profit. Without it you would make $344.44.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 95.0¢
Implied chance: 95.0%
Return if right: 5.3%
Spread cost: 82%

If you put in $100

You get 105.3 shares at 95.0¢ each.

NO wins: $105.26 back, a profit of $5.26. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $23.77 of that profit. Without it you would make $29.03.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 13, 02:43 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the runner-up of the Premier League for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to finish as runner-up of Premier League for the 2026-27 season per the rules of Premier League (e.g., the participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared as second-place finishers, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a runner-up has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Premier League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.premierleague.com/