Will Corinthians win Copa Libertadores?

Q: Will Corinthians win Copa Libertadores?

Prediction markets currently price this at 10%. A YES share costs 9.6¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 941.7% over 3.8mo.

Copa Libertadores: Winner$286 liquidity$219 volumecloses 3.8mo

SportsSoccerCopa Libertadores

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 9.6¢
Implied chance: 9.6%
Return if right: 941.7%
Spread cost: 45%

If you put in $100

You get 1041.7 shares at 9.6¢ each.

YES wins: $1041.67 back, a profit of $941.67. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $760.14 of that profit. Without it you would make $1701.80.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 98.5¢
Implied chance: 98.5%
Return if right: 1.5%
Spread cost: 74%

If you put in $100

You get 101.5 shares at 98.5¢ each.

NO wins: $101.52 back, a profit of $1.52. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.35 of that profit. Without it you would make $5.88.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 19, 03:50 AM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted3 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Corinthians win Copa Libertadores?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the champion of the Copa Libertadores. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Copa Libertadores per the rules of Copa Libertadores (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Copa Libertadores; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.