Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship?

Q: Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship?

Prediction markets currently price this at 1%. A YES share costs 1.1¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 8990.9% over 5d.

PGA Tour: FedEx St. Jude Championship Winner$13k liquidity$0 volumecloses 5d

SportsGolfPGAPGA TOUR

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 1.1¢
Implied chance: 1.1%
Return if right: 8990.9%
Spread cost: 46%

If you put in $100

You get 9090.9 shares at 1.1¢ each.

YES wins: $9090.91 back, a profit of $8990.91. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $7575.76 of that profit. Without it you would make $16566.67.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 99.9¢
Implied chance: 99.9%
Return if right: 0.1%
Spread cost: 83%

If you put in $100

You get 100.1 shares at 99.9¢ each.

NO wins: $100.10 back, a profit of $0.10. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.50 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.60.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 12, 03:29 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Justin Thomas, Viktor Hovland and Hideki Matsuyama headline the 2026 FedEx St Jude Championship best betsFox News · 2h ago

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the FedEx St. Jude Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the FedEx St. Jude Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by August 22, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).

Source: https://www.pgatour.com/