Will Kurt Kitayama win the 2026 BMW Championship?

Q: Will Kurt Kitayama win the 2026 BMW Championship?

Prediction markets currently price this at 2%. A YES share costs 1.7¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 5782.4% over 5d.

PGA Tour: BMW Championship Winner$9k liquidity$101 volumecloses 5d

SportsGolfPGAPGA TOUR

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 1.7¢
Implied chance: 1.7%
Return if right: 5782.4%
Spread cost: 18%

If you put in $100

You get 5882.4 shares at 1.7¢ each.

YES wins: $5882.35 back, a profit of $5782.35. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1260.50 of that profit. Without it you would make $7042.86.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 98.9¢
Implied chance: 98.9%
Return if right: 1.1%
Spread cost: 22%

If you put in $100

You get 101.1 shares at 98.9¢ each.

NO wins: $101.11 back, a profit of $1.11. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.31 of that profit. Without it you would make $1.42.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 19, 03:29 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

PGA TOUR 2026: BMW Championship best bets at Bellerive Country Club for the FedExCup PlayoffsFox News · 4h ago

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Kurt Kitayama win the 2026 BMW Championship?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 BMW Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the BMW Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the BMW Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by August 29, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).

Source: https://www.pgatour.com/