Will Trump meet with Mark Carney by September 15, 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 11.0¢
- Implied chance
- 11.0%
- Return if right
- 809.1%
- Spread cost
- 30%
If you put in $100
You get 909.1 shares at 11.0¢ each.
YES wins: $909.09 back, a profit of $809.09. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $340.91 of that profit. Without it you would make $1150.00.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 95.0¢
- Implied chance
- 95.0%
- Return if right
- 5.3%
- Spread cost
- 39%
If you put in $100
You get 105.3 shares at 95.0¢ each.
NO wins: $105.26 back, a profit of $5.26. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.43 of that profit. Without it you would make $8.70.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 28, 11:14 PM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Hillary Clinton says Republicans ‘secretly cheering’ for Mark Carney amid US-Canada trade negotiationThe Hill · 3d ago
- Mark Carney's defiance of Trump has Canada cheeringAxios · 4d ago
- Breaking down Scott Bessent's comments on Canada, tariffs, Mark CarneyCBS News · 4d ago
- Mark Carney says Canada can’t accept US trade deal that would weaken French languageThe Guardian · 4d ago
- As Canada readies retaliatory tariffs, Mark Carney says his nation is 'at war' with U.S.NPR · 7d ago
- Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney calls new U.S. tariffs ‘a miscalculation’NBC News · 7d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Trump meet with Mark Carney by September 15, 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Mark Carney between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Carney are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.