Will the USS Abraham Lincoln depart CENTCOM by October 31, 2026?

• Last US troops complete 'orderly departure' from Iraq, CENTCOM saysABC News · 4d ago
• Acting Navy Secretary says eight sailors on USS Abraham Lincoln carrier strike group attempted suicideThe Hill · 10d ago
• Senator confirms ‘eight suicide attempts’ by US navy personnel assigned to USS Abraham Lincoln carrier group – as it happenedThe Guardian · 10d ago
• Hung Cao's bid for Navy secretary faces choppy waters post-USS Abraham LincolnThe Hill · 11d ago
• Centcom: Over 1B crude oil barrels passed through Hormuz strait in recent monthsThe Hill · 14d ago
• CACI’s (CACI) New CENTCOM Contract Arrives With Some Fine PrintYahoo Finance · 16d ago

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN-72) departs the U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) area of responsibility by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The Lincoln will be considered to have departed the CENTCOM area of responsibility upon confirmation by the U.S. Navy, the U.S. Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, or U.S. Indo-Pacific Command that the ship has departed the CENTCOM area of responsibility or entered the any other area of operations, or upon a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the ship has physically exited the CENTCOM area of responsibility. The departure must occur by the listed deadline. In the event of ambiguity as to whether the USS Abraham Lincoln left the specified area by the specified time, this market will remain open until the earlier of: (i) confirmation that the USS Abraham Lincoln left the specified area by the listed deadline, or (ii) the end of the seventh calendar day (ET) following the listed deadline. The market will resolve based on the totality of information available at that time. If there is material ambiguity as to whether the USS Abraham Lincoln left the specified area by that time, this market will resolve to “No.” Port calls, temporary stops, crew liberty at an intermediate port, or other movements within the CENTCOM area of responsibility will not qualify. Announcements, orders, schedules, or reports that the ship will depart, is preparing to depart, or is awaiting relief will not qualify absent confirmation that the qualifying departure has occurred. A qualifying departure will count regardless of the ship's subsequent movements or tasking. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military, including the U.S. Navy, the Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, and U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, and a consensus of credible reporting.