Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by August 31?

Serbia parliament dissolved by…?$1k liquidity$13k volumecloses 21d
SerbiaPoliticsparliament
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Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY YES

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Cost
34.0¢
Implied chance
34.0%
Return if right
194.1%
Spread cost
19%

If you put in $100

You get 294.1 shares at 34.0¢ each.

YES wins: $294.12 back, a profit of $194.12. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $44.87 of that profit. Without it you would make $238.98.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

Buy NO on Polymarket

BUY NO

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We keep it in one place with the price you saw, and email you when it settles or moves sharply. It is free, and the screener stays open to everyone either way.

Cost
75.0¢
Implied chance
75.0%
Return if right
33.3%
Spread cost
20%

If you put in $100

You get 133.3 shares at 75.0¢ each.

NO wins: $133.33 back, a profit of $33.33. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $8.51 of that profit. Without it you would make $41.84.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

0%25%50%75%100%17%78%Aug 3Aug 10

Latest: Aug 10, 11:08 AM

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by August 31”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Serbian National Assembly (Народна скупштина) is dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Other outcomes in Serbia parliament dissolved by…?

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