Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,300?

Q: Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,300?

Prediction markets currently price this at 10%. A YES share costs 10.3¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 870.9% over 7d.

Foldable iPhone Announced Price?$3k liquidity$5k volumecloses 7d

TechAppleBig TechApple ReleaseApple Event

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 10.3¢
Implied chance: 10.3%
Return if right: 870.9%
Spread cost: 15%

If you put in $100

You get 970.9 shares at 10.3¢ each.

YES wins: $970.87 back, a profit of $870.87. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $159.07 of that profit. Without it you would make $1029.94.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 92.6¢
Implied chance: 92.6%
Return if right: 8.0%
Spread cost: 18%

If you put in $100

You get 108.0 shares at 92.6¢ each.

NO wins: $107.99 back, a profit of $7.99. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.72 of that profit. Without it you would make $9.71.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

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No price history for this window.

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at …”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

Apple is scheduled to hold its "Surprise and Shine" event at 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first price publicly announced by Apple for a foldable iPhone for the US market is greater than or equal to the specified amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The price used for resolution will be the starting price (USD) as first announced by Apple for the lowest-priced configuration of a foldable iPhone in the US market, before taxes, carrier subsidies, trade-in credits, promotional discounts, or bundled services. Prices announced for other regions or for higher storage configurations will not be used. Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify as a foldable iPhone, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone. If Apple announces prices for more than one foldable iPhone model, the lowest announced starting price will be used. If Apple does not publicly announce a price for a foldable iPhone by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.