Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
BUY NO
- Cost
- 0.1¢
- Implied chance
- 0.1%
- Return if right
- 99900.0%
- Spread cost
- n/a
If you put in $100
You get 100000.0 shares at 0.1¢ each.
NO wins: $100000.00 back, a profit of $99900.00. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 19, 03:00 PM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Ukraine's former defense minister demands elections: "Democracy cannot be held hostage by Russia"CBS News · 2h ago
- Ukraine's fired defense minister calls for elections despite war with RussiaCBS News · 9h ago
- Ukraine launches nearly 800 drones into Russia, targets MoscowCBS News · 15h ago
- Ukraine targets Moscow with drones as Russia threatens U.K. over supportCBS News · 23h ago
- Why is Russia threatening UK with ‘consequences’ over Ukraine drones?Al Jazeera · 1d ago
- Ukraine appeals to FIA to overturn Russia inclusionBBC Sport · 1d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by Decem…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.