Will Milo Yiannopoulos be deported in 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 87.0¢
- Implied chance
- 87.0%
- Return if right
- 14.9%
- Spread cost
- 8%
If you put in $100
You get 114.9 shares at 87.0¢ each.
YES wins: $114.94 back, a profit of $14.94. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.34 of that profit. Without it you would make $16.28.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 15.0¢
- Implied chance
- 15.0%
- Return if right
- 566.7%
- Spread cost
- 8%
If you put in $100
You get 666.7 shares at 15.0¢ each.
NO wins: $666.67 back, a profit of $566.67. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $47.62 of that profit. Without it you would make $614.29.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 29, 12:06 AM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- ICE arrests right-wing commentator Milo Yiannopoulos, labels him an "illegal alien"CBS News · 42m ago
- Far-right UK provocateur Milo Yiannopoulos detained by ICE in USAl Jazeera · 1h ago
- US arrests right-wing provocateur Milo YiannopoulosDeutsche Welle · 2h ago
- US arrests far-right provocateur Milo YiannopoulosDeutsche Welle · 2h ago
- Milo Yiannopoulos, a Right-Wing Provocateur, Is Arrested by ICEThe New York Times · 3h ago
- Milo Yiannopoulos, a far-right political commentator, detained by ICEThe Guardian · 4h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Milo Yiannopoulos be deported in 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Milo Yiannopoulos is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Yiannopoulos from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count. A removal order that has not been implemented will not be sufficient to resolve this market. The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.