Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 92.0¢
- Implied chance
- 92.0%
- Return if right
- 8.7%
- Spread cost
- 26%
If you put in $100
You get 108.7 shares at 92.0¢ each.
YES wins: $108.70 back, a profit of $8.70. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.04 of that profit. Without it you would make $11.73.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 13.0¢
- Implied chance
- 13.0%
- Return if right
- 669.2%
- Spread cost
- 21%
If you put in $100
You get 769.2 shares at 13.0¢ each.
NO wins: $769.23 back, a profit of $669.23. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $183.15 of that profit. Without it you would make $852.38.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Mamdani's Pied-À-Terre Tax Could Backfire on Fake Non-Residents as Kathy Hochul's Office Warns Them to 'Come Clean'Yahoo Finance · 11h ago
- DAVID MARCUS: Mamdani's faux African accent as telling as it is bizarreFox News · 2d ago
- Super-rich complain but experts welcome Mamdani’s pied-à-terre taxThe Guardian · 2d ago
- Ken Griffin's Feud With Mamdani Hasn't Stopped His $6 Billion Manhattan Skyscraper— It's Now Under DemolitionYahoo Finance · 3d ago
- Amazon responds to Mamdani's cease-and-desist letterThe Hill · 3d ago
- Resurfaced Mamdani interview ignites internet frenzy over alleged 'fake' Ugandan accentFox News · 3d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both the following occur: 1. Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election. 2. The New York City Rent Guidelines Board implements rent adjustments at 0.0 % for both one-year and two-year renewal leases for rent-stabilized apartments citywide by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The policy will be considered implemented only if a 0.0 % increases for both one-year and two-year renewal leases is in effect by the resolution date. An announced intention or proposed order not yet effective will not qualify. Orders that are blocked, enjoined, or otherwise prevented from taking effect by the deadline will not qualify. If the policy is enacted through another official mechanism, including but not limited to a mayoral executive order, local legislation, or state law, and goes into effect by the resolution date it will qualify. Orders that apply only to one lease term (e.g., 0 % on one-year but > 0 % on two-year), apply only to specific unit types (e.g., hotels or SROs), or relate to non-stabilized units will not qualify. Policies which include limited exceptions — such as exclusions for specific categories of rent-stabilized units (e.g., hardship exemptions, temporarily exempt buildings, or administrative carveouts) — will still qualify as long as a general policy of 0 % rent adjustment for both one-year and two-year renewal leases on rent-stabilized apartments and lofts is in effect citywide. If Mamdani is confirmed to have lost the 2025 NYC Mayoral election by a consensus of credible reporting, this market will immediately resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official Rent Guidelines Board materials.