Will Hunter Biden launch a coin by September 9?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 97.8¢
- Implied chance
- 97.8%
- Return if right
- 2.2%
- Spread cost
- 86%
If you put in $100
You get 102.2 shares at 97.8¢ each.
YES wins: $102.25 back, a profit of $2.25. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $13.42 of that profit. Without it you would make $15.67.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 24.9¢
- Implied chance
- 24.9%
- Return if right
- 301.6%
- Spread cost
- 53%
If you put in $100
You get 401.6 shares at 24.9¢ each.
NO wins: $401.61 back, a profit of $301.61. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $336.40 of that profit. Without it you would make $638.01.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Republican senators push for probe into Donald Trump Jr. and Hunter BidenCBS News · 12h ago
- Hunter Biden responds to GOP senator's request: 'I'll sit next to Don Jr. and testify any time'The Hill · 1d ago
- GOP senator calls for subpoenaing Donald Trump Jr. and Hunter Biden over their business dealingsNBC News · 1d ago
- Republican senator calls for investigation of Donald Trump Jr., Hunter BidenABC News · 2d ago
- GOP senator asks Senate committee to subpoena Donald Trump Jr., Hunter BidenCBS News · 2d ago
- GOP Sen. John Curtis calls for Trump Jr., Hunter Biden investigationsThe Hill · 2d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Hunter Biden launch a coin by September 9?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hunter Biden officially launches a token by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only tokens which are confirmed to have been launched by Hunter Biden — through posts from official social media channels, public statements by Hunter Biden or his official representatives, or otherwise by a consensus of credible reporting — will qualify. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Announcements alone do not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.