Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in September?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 94.3¢
- Implied chance
- 94.3%
- Return if right
- 6.0%
- Spread cost
- 14%
If you put in $100
You get 106.0 shares at 94.3¢ each.
YES wins: $106.04 back, a profit of $6.04. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.96 of that profit. Without it you would make $7.01.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 7.4¢
- Implied chance
- 7.4%
- Return if right
- 1251.4%
- Spread cost
- 12%
If you put in $100
You get 1351.4 shares at 7.4¢ each.
NO wins: $1351.35 back, a profit of $1251.35. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $175.37 of that profit. Without it you would make $1426.72.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 24, 04:44 AM3 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Bitcoin Bulls Eye Next Leg as $15 Billion Options Expiry NearsBloomberg · 2h ago
- A week of AI coding cut a quantum-safe bitcoin transaction estimate from $320 to $66CoinDesk · 2h ago
- Bitcoin’s ‘last resort’ quantum-safe solution just got 79% cheaper: StarkWareCointelegraph · 3h ago
- Dogecoin down 8%, bitcoin under $84,000 as Treasury yields hit highest level since 2007CoinDesk · 4h ago
- Bitcoin Price Slips While US Treasury Yields Soar, Oil Prices ClimbBitcoin Magazine · 11h ago
- $15.6 Billion in Bitcoin Options Expire Friday—Here's What It MeansDecrypt · 13h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in September?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
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