Will at least 25 albums be ranked #1 on the Billboard 200 in 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 98.6¢
- Implied chance
- 98.6%
- Return if right
- 1.4%
- Spread cost
- 52%
If you put in $100
You get 101.4 shares at 98.6¢ each.
YES wins: $101.42 back, a profit of $1.42. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.57 of that profit. Without it you would make $2.99.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 4.4¢
- Implied chance
- 4.4%
- Return if right
- 2172.7%
- Spread cost
- 35%
If you put in $100
You get 2272.7 shares at 4.4¢ each.
NO wins: $2272.73 back, a profit of $2172.73. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1175.55 of that profit. Without it you would make $3348.28.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Taylor Swift Spends Her 100th Week at No. 1 on the Billboard 200, as ‘Life of a Showgirl’ Stays on Top in Week 2 of ‘Encore’ ReboundVariety · 4h ago
- Choosin’ Texas unseats All I Want for Christmas as longest-running No 1 song on Billboard Hot 100The Guardian · 19d ago
- Swing-state billboards use football trash talk to call foul on tariffsThe Washington Post · 20d ago
- Edward Morris, Nashville Music Editor and Columnist Who Steered Billboard’s Country Coverage, Dies at 90Variety · 21d ago
- Ella Langley’s ‘Dandelion’ Album Returns to No. 1 Spot on Billboard 200 for First Time in Four Months, So ‘Choosin’ Texas’ Won’t Get Lonely at the TopVariety · 28d ago
- Angelyne is Taking Her Billboard Act to the Sky Above Los AngelesThe Hollywood Reporter · 1mo ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will at least 25 albums be ranked #1 on the Billboard 200 in…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the number of albums that are ranked number 1 on any official weekly Billboard 200 albums chart released for a data collection reference period entirely between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Each specific album may only count once, regardless of the number times it reaches the number 1 spot. Different editions of the same album will be considered to be different specific albums if they contain different tracklists. Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. The first Billboard 200 album chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026. The final Billboard 200 album chart relevant to this market will be the Chart titled “Week of January 9, 2027” for a data collection reference period of December 25-31, 2026. All officially published Billboard 200 Albums charts will be treated as final. Revisions made after the release of a Billboard 200 album chart will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official weekly Billboard 200 albums chart, published each week at https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/ and through other official Billboard channels; however, a consensus of credible reporting on albums that reached number 1 on the Billboard 200 within this market's timeframe may also be used.