US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.1¢
- Implied chance
- 0.1%
- Return if right
- 99900.0%
- Spread cost
- n/a
If you put in $100
You get 100000.0 shares at 0.1¢ each.
YES wins: $100000.00 back, a profit of $99900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 23, 06:10 AM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Senate Republican: Iranian leaders 'part of a colony of reptiles' that also includes China, Russia, North KoreaThe Hill · 1h ago
- Family of Iranian twins sentenced to death and decades in jail ask UN for helpThe Guardian · 2h ago
- Did we just hear the Iranian regime's last speech at the UN?The Hill · 4h ago
- Trump likely ‘smirked’ as 'crass' Iranian president lashed out at US in UN speech: expertFox News · 15h ago
- Chinese and Iranian presidents both visit U.S.CBS News · 16h ago
- What to know about Iranian president's U.N. speechCBS News · 17h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify. Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure. A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.