Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.1¢
- Implied chance
- 0.1%
- Return if right
- 99900.0%
- Spread cost
- n/a
If you put in $100
You get 100000.0 shares at 0.1¢ each.
YES wins: $100000.00 back, a profit of $99900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Iranian President Pezeshkian brought a diplomatic tone to New York for UNGA. What did his remarks signal?Deutsche Welle · 1h ago
- Iranian President Pezeshkian brought a diplomatic tone to UNGA in New York. What did his speech signal?Deutsche Welle · 1h ago
- Iranian president denies nuclear ambitions while blaming US for Middle East conflict and more top headlinesFox News · 2h ago
- Iranian president blames US for Middle East conflict while denying nuclear ambitions, offers to dilute uraniumFox News · 13h ago
- UAE bars Iranian airlines as US sanctions squeeze Iran’s aviation sectorAl Jazeera · 13h ago
- Iranian president says country wants deal with US made before midtermsThe Hill · 16h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hengam Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island. Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own. An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established. If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island. If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.